Passing back and forth in a football match is half of the actual gameplay. In fact, it really shows how technically skilled a team is when there are good passes and strategic plays in place. But, it is really helpful for a team to do this or not?
Passing accuracy is efficient
How accurately a pass is made in football is definitely an indicator of proficiency and efficiency. It’s possible for a team to have a very high completion rate. This means that they have many successful passes in a game. But, this doesn’t accurately reflect everything that’s going on. For instance, these could be short, safe passes, which cannot be intercepted by the opposition. As such, this doesn’t help in the long-term game strategy when it comes to scoring goals or creating more effective chances to score or push the other team.
As such, it’s important to look at the type of passes being made to see whether this may result in a better match or not. Long passes often have a lower completion rate simply because there are more factors causing them to fail. They’re typically more ambitious too. In contrast to short, safe passes, teams with longer passes and lower completion rates may end up scoring more or winning the game simply because this more flowing, open play is conducive to scoring.
On top of this, context is also key. Under pressure, a long pass is harder to complete than a short one. It’s also important to know whether the team is playing defensively or offensively. This also impacts the style of play, types of passes, and success rate. All of these key factors should always be considered when engaging in live betting. With this type of betting, it’s easy to see which team has the momentum, and actually see why the different types of passing are being used. Watching the game live will give a good indication of which way it is swinging and whether a higher passing average is likely to result in a game win.
It might actually be bad
In fact, considering all these things, it’s possible that teams with a higher pass completion rate do actually perform worse than those that don’t. A study of MLS teams definitely indicated this, because it showed that teams with a high completion or pass average were typically playing a more possession-style game. This is not one of the most effective approaches if a team is planning to win.
But it’s not that cut and dry as it appears there might be differences depending on the league and competency of the team as a whole. Manchester City does have high completion rates indicating they’re accurate at passing, and technically skilled as a team. With more than 80% passing accuracy, for Man City, they do win, so it’s important that completion is coupled with accuracy for this to have an impact on the overall game.
Possession percentage and ball control are two other factors that do seem to have an impact on the overall outcome of a game. Interestingly, possession percentage tends to indicate the control over the game, so holding the ball longer like FC Barcelona means they are controlling what happens including the pace. Ball control then comes into play here, with players needing high levels of ball control to prevent turnovers and losing that control advantage to take scoring chances.
At the end of the day, for the top teams it comes down to risk versus reward. For short passes, there is minimal risk, but there’s often no real reward coming out of it. Longer passes can be far more rewarding and result in a score, territory or possession. But, they’re easier to intercept which means there’s higher risks of the team losing the ball completely. There’s no cut and dry way of determining a win either, so a team’s best strategy is to employ a more balanced approach. Combining passing accuracy with shots on goal statistics, conversion rates, and possession stats will give viewers a much better insight into whether a team is more or less likely to be successful in any given game.

